Precipitation Extremes Variability Trend in Bakhtegan Catchment Using AgMERRA and Stations Data

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Combating Desertification, Faculty of Natural Resources and Earth Sciences, University of Kashan.

2 Assistant Professor, Combating Desertification, Faculty of Natural Resources and Earth Sciences, University of Kashan

3 Associate Professor, Department of Renewable Energy and the Environment, Tehran University, Tehran, Iran

4 Faculty of Earth Science, Department of Remote Sensing and GIS, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran..

Abstract

This study was aimed to investigate Precipitation Extremes variability in Bakhtegan Basin. Climate data corresponding to Bakhtegan basin was extracted from AgMERRA dataset for the study time period (1980-2010) using R software. Daily precipitation data was also extracted from the meteorological stations data arhive in the basin during the study period. Rx1day, Rx5day, PRCPTOT, CDD, R10mm, R20mm, R95p and R99p indices were selected and calculated to study climate change in the region. RX1day results with the changes trend of -1.186 to 0.217, RX5day, -0.624 to 0.82, R10, -0.179 to 0.025, R20, -0.06 to 0.046 and PRCPTOT, -3.675 to 2.028 showed a decreasing trend in catchment’s most parts and jointly in the catchment’s southern and western parts. Decreasing precipitation, the consecutive dry days (CDD) increased and generally showed an increase throughout the basin (except for a small section in the catchment’s centeral and eastern parts). The most consecutive dry days were observed 259 days in 2008, 245 in 1983 and 264 in 1999 in Shiraz, Doroudzan Dam and Aliabad Kamin stations, respectively. Both R95p and R99p indices illustrated increasing and decreasing trends in different parts of the basin.

Keywords


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